Since the financial crisis, US banks have been rapidly reducing their reliance on wholesale funding. Large time deposits (CDs) went from 21% of the total bank liabilities prior to Lehman to around 13% today (chart below).
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| US banks' "large time deposits" as percentage of total bank liabilities (source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve) |
Banks are not marketing these accounts as aggressively as the used to (not offering very attractive rates on CDs as they did in the past) and there is also less customer demand. People are uneasy about locking up their money for six months to earn less than a quarter of a percent. And not many customers want to lock their money up for a longer period. Plus those who have more that $250K on deposit need to worry about bank credit risk on a CD that is locked up for a longer period.
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| 6-month CD rate (annualized) national average (source: Bankrate.com) |
In addition, banks are reducing their reliance on other "non-deposit" funding - such as borrowing from other banks, commercial paper issuance, etc. The chart below shows the total percentage of bank liabilities that would be considered wholesale funding.
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| US banks' wholesale funding ("large time deposits" + "borrowings") as percentage of total bank liabilities (source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve) |
The problem with these sources of funding is that they can quickly disappear, as was the case during the 2008/2009 period. Having been burned by not picking up on such bank risks prior to the crisis, rating agencies became aggressive in downgrading banks who have too much reliance on wholesale funding. Here is a recent example.
WSJ: - Moody's Investors Service downgraded its long-term ratings on three Swedish banks, reflecting high reliance on wholesale funding, low profit margins and risk to asset quality.Keenly aware of the situation and downgrade risks, US banks have been moving away from wholesale funding as quickly as possible. As a consequence, standard overnight deposits are becoming an increasingly larger portion of bank liabilities. These run-of-the-mill deposit accounts made up over 80% of total bank liabilities in the early 1970s, dropping down to 47% just before the financial crisis. It now looks like this more "traditional" type of banking is making a comeback.
Moody's lowered its ratings on Nordea Bank AB and Svenska Handelsbanken AB (SHB-B.SK) by one notch to Aa3, its fourth highest rating. The firm downgraded its ratings on specialized agricultural lender Landshypotek AB by two notches to Baa2, two levels above junk territory. Moody's also affirmed its ratings for SEB at A1 and for Swedbank AB at A2. The outlook is stable on these companies. The ratings actions conclude reviews initiated by Moody's in February.
Moody's noted that Swedish banks rely heavily on wholesale market funds, which the firm views as less stable than retail-sourced funding given the funds' inherent confidence-sensitivity and potential for sharp swings in the availability and costs of such funds.
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| US banks' standard overnight deposits as percentage of total bank liabilities (source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve) |
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